Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 252.454532 285.242001 321.847950 365.965514 417.983728 477.722258 552.030180
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 203.422404 245.983837 297.833882 366.511423 456.400523 571.931423 734.796864
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 172.289256 217.162174 274.871049 356.077932 469.985417 628.179681 872.184219
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 150.699699 196.106229 257.012633 346.941866 480.398314 678.158343 1007.898224
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 140.148602 187.815381 254.307164 357.062462 518.106296 772.610477 1232.204075
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 129.334330 177.572874 247.088759 358.738743 542.151326 848.940412 1444.630217
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.283466 165.654172 235.777093 352.092408 550.969054 900.428204 1624.304707
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 110.650454 157.944694 229.794788 352.796189 571.635233 975.847911 1871.348004
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.295162 148.314308 219.737706 345.266740 576.233472 1021.552755 2068.330218
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.178085 141.605835 213.620067 343.563363 590.935878 1089.455108 2336.886748
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.128133 131.181597 200.473202 327.901182 576.589321 1094.440864 2452.985139
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 86.101244 130.310505 203.123617 340.999626 620.697669 1234.096690 2971.481327
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.546448 130.204140 207.255501 357.779824 676.214832 1415.753821 3701.926180
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.411487 125.444040 202.831209 357.605611 695.688914 1516.679633 4239.247590
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.248472 118.539081 193.963090 347.545730 691.434045 1556.263517 4590.725085
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 70.728326 112.452197 186.103640 338.679260 688.583775 1599.213181 4979.971830
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.062876 111.273140 187.204769 348.496317 731.656769 1781.308589 6031.858635
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 66.487293 108.277762 184.614186 350.122014 754.930992 1912.829763 6969.254526
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 63.158047 103.700466 178.630438 343.675759 756.622384 1978.788612 7652.620089
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 60.894755 100.941716 175.977538 344.358399 777.168714 2111.877524 8795.285530
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 57.926758 96.698260 170.083820 337.054566 775.013435 2168.483170 9570.483728
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 55.758791 93.838747 166.767994 335.402057 788.389689 2284.423393 10826.119740
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 52.365972 88.481461 158.050217 320.204541 760.987262 2244.290558 11033.409979